Free trade for better health Free trade for better health
By Philip Stevens, Director, Health Programme
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Free trade is a powerful mechanism for improving
steadily rising in most parts of the world for the last 50
human health, for two broad reasons. First and most
important, freeing up trade between individuals and
Nevertheless, some have claimed that trade
countries is a proven way of increasing prosperity and
liberalisation and especially agreements such as those
administered by the World Trade Organisation (WTO)
Wealth is important to health because it allows people to
are harmful to the poor. Such claims are not borne out
buy improvements in living conditions. Prosperity brings
with it decent sanitation, clean water and clean,
One of the WTO agreements, the General Agreement on
efficient domestic fuels. A lack of these necessities is
Trade in Services (GATS) has been accused of
directly responsible for a large proportion of mortality
undermining sovereignty and requiring the privatisation
and morbidity in the world’s poorest countries. People in
of health services, but the reality is that the GATS allows
wealthier countries, meanwhile, have the resources to
signatories a great deal of flexibility. In addition, like all
ensure that they are well-nourished and live in hygienic
trade agreements, the GATS is voluntary and relies on
conditions. This is why life expectancies have been on
mutual recognition, not coercion. Moreover, the GATS
the rise in these regions since modern economic growth
may act as a significant spur to technology and
began at the time of the Industrial Revolution.
knowledge transfer, because it encourages the adoption
The second reason why trade improves health relates to
of beneficial things such as telemedicine, medical
so-called ‘technology transfer’. Before the late 19th
tourism and proper standards for health insurance. It
Century, cross-border trade was restricted to a handful
may also help overcome the so-called ‘brain drain’ of
of nations. Today, all countries trade internationally,
medical personnel from South to North, by encouraging
with lower-income countries recently seeing their share
of global trade increasing significantly.
Another WTO agreement, the Trade Related aspects of
As a result of this growing international exchange of
Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) agreement, has
goods and services, the health-related knowledge and
been accused of – among other things – holding up
technologies which originated in rich countries have
knowledge transfer from “North” to “South”. In fact,
been disseminated to the rest of the world. In the years
the opposite is true. India has recently made its
following the Second World War, the global spread of
domestic legislation compliant with TRIPS, and the
drugs such as penicillin – a medicine discovered and
result has been a massive influx of foreign Research and
developed in Britain – had a massive impact on
Development expertise and capital. The early indications
mortality in many poor countries. Similarly, the spread
are that this TRIPS-compliant law will provide an
of other technologies developed in rich countries, such
environment in which India will develop a range of new
as DDT, have significantly reduced the incidence of
drugs for the diseases which affect its population.
malaria worldwide. Some economists believe that the
Meanwhile, the various Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)
spread of technology, facilitated by free trade, is the
signed between the United States and bilateral partners
most important reason why life expectancies have been
likewise stand accused of delaying technology transfer
by strengthening intellectual property protection. Thetruth is that most of these FTAs retain the flexibilities ofTRIPS, and binding ‘side letters’ exist for the others. Butby protecting intellectual property, these FTAs allowlocal manufacturers to develop their own products witha far lower threat of profit-eroding piracy. Likewise,multinational companies will be reassured that theirproperty will be safe in a signatory country, resulting ingreater foreign investment and technology transfer.
Free trade has a positive impact on health, so it isreprehensible that governments continue to imposerestrictions on trade. It is particularly horrific that drugsand medical devices continue to be subject to a range ofimport levies in the majority of lower-income countries,with the result that many sick people are priced out oftreatment. Removing these unconscionable restrictionson trade must be a priority for trade negotiatorsconcerned about the health of the poorest.
In addition, there is a strong moral case for prioritisingthe removal of tariffs on technologies that enable thesupply of clean water and clean energy. Dirty water andfuels are two of the biggest causes of disease in lower-income countries – resulting in over 4 million deaths peryear, mostly of women and children. The removal ofthese levies can and should be done as soon as possible. If unilateral removal is not politically acceptable thenthey should be removed within the context ofnegotiations on access to environmental goods andservices in the current multilateral Doha round.
Finally, there is an absolute moral imperative to removerestrictions on trade in food, because malnutritionremains a major problem in many parts of the world. This applies especially to the many nations in Africawhich maintain harmful tariffs on the agriculturalproducts of neighbouring states. Free trade for better health
countries, led to what has been described as the third ofthree great waves of mortality decline (Gwatkin, 1980).
The history of humanity shows that the most certain
This period saw an increased access to safe water and
and sustainable way of improving human health is to
sanitation services in lower-income countries. Such
increase individual prosperity and wealth. A seminal
access, coupled with increases in per capita food
1996 study by economists Lant Pritchett and Lawrence
supplies, basic public health services, greater knowledge
Summers showed the dramatic effect which increases in
of basic hygiene, and newer weapons (such as
incomes can have on health. They found a strong
antibiotics and tests for early diagnosis) were
causative effect of income on infant mortality, and
instrumental in reducing mortality rates.
demonstrated that if the developing world’s growth rate
As a result of these advances, life expectancies
had been 1.5 percentage points higher in the 1980s, half
lengthened worldwide, not just in the richest nations.
a million infant deaths would have been averted.
Average global life expectancy increased from 46.6 in
In fact, the health of the world’s population has been
1950–1955 to 66.8 years between 1950–1955 and 2003,
improving since modern economic growth began with
as technology, including knowledge, was diffused
the Industrial Revolution. Infant mortality and life
around the world (World Bank, 2005). Figure 1
expectancy rates have improved dramatically around the
illustrates the correlation between wealth and health,
world, and food is more abundant and cheap than ever
showing that life expectancy increases as GDP per capita
before. These indicators of human well-being improved
noticeably in rich countries from the mid to late 19thcentury, as nations cleaned up their water supplies andinstituted basic public health measures, such as
Figure 1 Life expectancy vs. income
sanitation, pasteurization, and vaccination. Then, in the
first half of the twentieth century, antibiotics, pesticidessuch as DDT, and an array of vaccines were added to thearsenal of weapons against disease. Once the traditionalinfectious and parasitic diseases were essentiallyconquered, richer countries turned their ingenuity andwealth to dealing with so-called diseases of affluence:
cancer, heart diseases and strokes (plus HIV/AIDS, a
non-traditional infectious disease). While these have not
yet been entirely defeated, a vast array of new
treatments, drugs and technologies now exist tomitigate their effects.
During the second half of the twentieth century, the
diffusion of technology from the rich to lower-incomecountries, as well as greater wealth in the lower-income
Trade and health
income countries now command 31 per cent of globalmerchandise trade, their highest level since the 1950s
It is clear that humanity owes its current,
unprecedented good health to growing prosperity andthe diffusion of advances in knowledge. This knowledgewould be of limited value without the economic
Barriers to open markets
resources required to implement it; sewage systems are
Lower-income countries have been able to begin
expensive, for example, as are mass vaccination
participate successfully in global markets partly through
programmes or the construction of hygienic dwellings.
abandoning the old protectionist policies of the post-war
But much of this economic growth and diffusion of
period. Chief among these was Import-substitution
health knowledge could never have been achieved
industrialisation (ISI), which was promoted very widely
without the dramatic increases in international trade
after World War II and was implemented aggressively
that characterised the late nineteenth century and
and enthusiastically in many lower-income countries,
second half of the twentieth century. Before the late
especially in post-independence Africa.
nineteenth century, cross-border trade was confined to
The justifications for ISI policies were twofold. First, it
handful of nations. Today, all countries trade
was taken as a given that development required
internationally and, with the occasional exception such
industrialisation. Second, it was supposed that
as North Korea, they trade significant – and increasing –
governments could speed this process up by preventing
proportions of their national incomes. While higher
imports of industrial goods – thereby encouraging the
income countries still accounted for three quarters of
global trade in 2000, lower income countries haverecently seen their share climb by one third as they cut
Following the advice of proponents of ISI, Brazil and
tariffs and dismantled other barriers to free trade. The
other Latin American economies put massive restrictions
average tariff in lower-income countries has fallen from
– quotas, tariffs, and outright bans – on imports of
25 per cent in the late 1980s to 11 per cent today (World
industrial goods. As a result, there was a temporary rise
Bank and IMF 2005). According to the WTO, lower-
in industrial output. This is not surprising: if you restrict
Figure 2 World exports of merchandise
Figure 3 International trade
Developing and developed countries, 1970–2000
the import of goods that people have traditionally
Can any link be drawn between the increasing global
imported, then local production will compensate to
importance of trade and improving health in the
developing world? It could be that increasing nationalwealth that comes from engaging in international trade
However, the initial cost was a reduction in agricultural
allows individuals and governments to afford
output, as productive factors moved into industry and
technologies and infrastructure that are propitious to
away from agriculture, and a migration of people from
health. A wide and increasing body of literature
the countryside into the cities. After a period of time,
demonstrates that increasing volumes of trade are
industrial output began to level off. This was mainly
causatively associated with robust economic growth (for
because the output was no longer competitive. Because
example, Dollar, 1995; Dollar & Kraay, 2001; Frankel &
it was no longer possible to purchase essential
Romer, 1999; Sachs & Warner, 1995). And, as we have
productive inputs from abroad, efficiency of outputs was
seen, rising incomes are result in better health, mainly
constrained. The costs of inputs rose and so competitors
because they allow people to buy improved sanitation,
cleaner fuels and more advanced health technologies.
To save the industries that had been sponsored by
In this way, opening up a country to trade is a powerful
import-substitution policies, governments started to
way of improving the health of its population. This
subsidise them. To pay for these subsidies, they raised
thesis is confirmed by the as yet small literature on the
taxes on agriculture and monetized government debt
relationship between trade liberalisation and health. In
through inflation. The net result was hyperinflation,
their panel study of 219 countries, Owen and Wu (2004)
combined with unemployment and negative growth.
found that increased openness to trade is associated
In addition, it created social chaos. This is because many
with lower rates of infant mortality and higher life
people had migrated to towns and were now
expectancies, especially in lower-income countries. Wei
unemployed. If they had been unemployed in the
and Wu (2002) also illustrate that higher trade openness
countryside, they would have had their social support
(especially when measured with a lower tariff rate) is
networks that had been developed over decades. But the
associated with a longer life expectancy and lower infant
new migrants to towns hadn’t developed such networks.
mortality. The recent experiences of countries such asChina, India and Vietnam, whose health indicators haveimproved as they have pursued more liberal trade
Open trade improves health
policies, provides a powerful and tangible confirmation
Fortunately, by the close of the Uruguay Round of
negotiations in 1994, most countries had agreed to move
Future generations in lower-income countries stand to
away from this counterproductive strategy and lower
accrue even greater financial and welfare gains if trade is
significantly their protectionist tariffs. In many
further liberalised. According to a recent study by the
countries, this set the stage for rapid economic growth
World Bank, the abolition of tariffs, subsidies and
and deepening integration in the global economy.
domestic support programs would boost global welfare
As well as being a period of increasing global trade and
by nearly $300 billion per year by 2015. Close to two-
economic activity, the second half of the twentieth
thirds of these gains would come from agricultural trade
century also saw remarkable improvements in health in
reform, because agriculture is so much more distorted
most lower-income countries. Between 1950–55 and
than other sectors. Furthermore, lower-income countries
2003, for example, India’s infant mortality fell from 190
would receive 45 percent of global gains from completely
to 63 per 1,000. In fact, life expectancy in low and
freeing all merchandise trade. As poor countries have a
middle income countries has risen steadily since the
much smaller share of global wealth, their potential
middle of the 20th century, with the exception of sub-
gains from trade liberalization are disproportionately
Saharan Africa in the 1990s. This progress took place
large, amounting to more than twice their share of global
against a backdrop of increasing international trade.
gross domestic product (Martin & Anderson, 2005).
In the 1940s, Asia ended several decades of relative
economic and cultural isolation, and started to integrateinto the global economy. This brought with it a massive
Although the economic benefits of international trade
transfer and diffusion of public health programmes,
are of fundamental importance to understanding the
technologies and techniques that originated in richer
relationship between free trade and health, trade may
countries. The 1920s to 1940s had seen huge advances in
also be beneficial for health in other ways. In fact, some
medical discovery, including penicillin, sulfa drugs,
economists believe that the spread of health-related
bacitracin, streptomycin and chloroquine. With the
knowledge that accompanies trade liberalisation is one
arrival in Asia of these and other drugs, effective
of the primary determinants of health in lower income
treatments for the diseases which had once killed
countries (Deaton, 2004; Owen & Wu, 2004; Jamison,
millions were now available at low cost. Furthermore,
Sandbu & Wang, 2001). This is because much of the
the invention of DDT in 1943 gave authorities a hugely
knowledge about how to improve human health – from
powerful weapon in the fight against malaria which
vaccines to the germ theory of disease – has been widely
allowed the disease to be eradicated from the US and
distributed to all parts of the world from the richer
Europe, and to lower caseloads by over 99 per cent in
countries where it was first developed.
parts of Sri Lanka and India (Gramiccia & Beales, 1988).
When the costs of trade are lowered, it becomes easier to
As a result of the widening availability and decreasing
disseminate to other countries knowledge, techniques
cost of such interventions – made possible by freer trade
and medical products from the countries that developed
– crude death rates dropped steeply, particularly in
them. For example, the discovery by John Snow in
eastern Asia in the late 1940s. By the 1950s and 1960s
London in 1854 that cholera is spread by contaminated
fewer and fewer children and young people were
water was to have significant implications for the
succumbing to the easily preventable diseases which
prevention of infectious diseases throughout the world.
had historically depressed the region’s health indicators,
This knowledge gradually filtered from London
and life expectancy was on the rise throughout the
throughout Europe, leading city authorities to upgrade
their water and sewage systems in order to prevent
This process continues today as new drugs and
medicines that are invented in one place are made
(Williamson, 1990). Today, germ theory is widely
available on international markets. Even though nearly
understood and recognised by public health authorities
all drugs start their life protected by patents, these
all over the world as an important tool for fighting
eventually expire, opening the market for generic
disease (even if the resources do not always exist to
competition. As a result, many off-patent medicines are
construct and maintain effective water management
available throughout the world at extremely low prices –
allowing people in poorer countries to benefit from the
Similarly, lowering the costs of trade can speed up the
knowledge and innovation of more affluent parts of the
rate at which proven medical technologies can be
world. More recent examples of this would include
adopted by other countries. Some of the most effective
antiretroviral drugs and statins, as well as items such as
and simple medicines such as antibiotics and vaccines
neonatal intensive care units, kidney dialysis equipment,
were first developed in richer countries, but the
screening equipment and myriad other modern medical
international manufacture and trade of such
devices. Of course, many drugs that are on-patent are
technologies has allowed them to become readily
also subject to competition from other medicines in the
available in most parts of the world. It is likely that the
same class. Moreover, with price differentiation on-
adoption of such technologies by the poor countries in
patent drugs may be made available to poorer people at
Asia in the post-war years is largely responsible for the
prices close to the cost of production.
remarkable declines in their crude death rates in thisperiod.
Taxes and tariffs delay technology transfer
technologies and drugs as soon as is practicable, in orderto maintain competitive advantage. This is obviously
The benefits from this technology transfer would be
even greater if lower-income countries were to abolishthe many tariffs and taxes they impose on medicines.
Similarly, lowering the cost of trade has resulted in a
Tariffs often significantly inflate the end-user price of
massive take-up in both wealthy and poor countries of
pharmaceutical in lower-income countries and act as a
communication technologies such as television, radio
barrier to the effective distribution of drugs and medical
and the internet. This has helped to improve global
technology. A 57 country study conducted on behalf of
health by facilitating the spread of ideas such as the
the European Commission in 2003 found that lower-
health consequences of smoking or exercise. Finally,
income countries impose significant taxes and tariffs on
there is some evidence that increased trade has a
imported drugs, with India imposing a combined rate of
positive effect on the quality of governance institutions,
55 per cent, Nigeria 34 per cent and Pakistan 33 per cent
thereby leading to a policy environment which is more
(European Commission, 2003). Often governments
conducive to better health (Owen & Wu, 2004). This
claim such taxes are necessary to protect the domestic
study also demonstrated that the improved health
pharmaceutical industry, but in reality they simply serve
outcomes resulting from increased volumes of trade
to deny patients the best quality medicines at the lowest
were most powerfully experienced in poorer countries.
Anecdotal evidence suggests that foreign companies
wishing to export medical devices such as pacemakers to
The resurgence of free trade following the economic
India face tariffs of around 50 per cent – even though
destruction of the Great Depression and Second World
cardiovascular disease accounts for one fifth of all
War owes much to the development of a world trading
deaths in India and the World Health Organization
regime, and more specifically, the creation of the General
estimates that 60 per cent of the world’s cardiac patients
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in 1947. This
will be Indian by 2010. In spite of this, the country has
institution hoped to promote the simple idea that if a
no domestic pacemaker manufacturers and imported
person in one country produces goods or services people
ones are taxed heavily. As a result, Indian patients
in other countries want to buy, then they should have
frequently have to make do with inferior, older or
the right to sell it to them without interference from the
refurbished pacemakers, if they are lucky enough to get
state. From this beginning, the world trade regime has
one at all (Anilkumar & Balachander, 2004).
today evolved into the most prominent example ofinternational cooperation. Successive rounds of trade
Other technologies
liberalisations have seen tariffs tumble, trading practicesstandardised and many more countries brought into the
Despite the stultifying effect of tariffs on the
dissemination of medicines and other healthtechnologies, the ‘knowledge spillover’ argument gains
The GATT has now been subsumed within the World
further support from a study conducted by economists
Trade Organisation (WTO), which operates on the
Angus Deaton and Christina Paxon in 2004. They
widely accepted premise that human welfare will
showed that mortality trends for infants and the
increase through economic growth based on trade
middle-aged tend to appear about four to five years
liberalisation in the context of non-discriminatory rules,
earlier in the US than the UK. This may be because the
reciprocity, fairness and transparency. Whereas the
more market-orientated US healthcare system allows for
dispute settlement body of the original GATT had
a speedier adoption of new technologies than the state-
limited powers of enforcement, the decisions of the
run UK system, even if those technologies were not
WTO’s dispute settlement body are automatically
originally invented in the US. Free trade allows
binding and enforceable, primarily through sanctions.
providers in the US health market to adopt those new
Trade in services
services” (Pollock & Price, 2000). Finally, critics contendthat the GATS is democratically illegitimate, because it
However, the rise of the more binding trading regime
sacrifices some of the sovereign nation’s ownership of its
faces heavy opposition and criticism, particularly from
overall health policy to a trade regime that is subject to
activist NGOs who claim to represent public health
external forces and actors (Sinclair, 2000).
interests. Much of this stems from the details ofparticular Multilateral Trade Agreements (MTAs). While
An assessment of the GATS by Leah Belsky et al in 2004
MTAs are intended to facilitate free trade and
shows most of these fears to be groundless. Although
knowledge transfer, they are denounced by activists as
there are concerns that the rules of the GATS are so
being injurious to public health – particularly in lower-
vague that they do not specifically exclude publicly
income countries. The most high profile of these among
provided health services (Krajewski, 2001), this is
health campaigners has been the WTO’s Trade Related
irrelevant because countries still retain the right to
Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS), which
regulate all providers – public as well as private.
will be discussed below, but it might be that the WTO’s
Furthermore, although countries are limited in the
General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) is of
policies they pursue towards sectors that they have
equal or more relevance to public health.
committed to the GATS, countries can choose whetheror not to participate, and are free to pick and mix which
The GATS, negotiated by some 120 countries, came into
sectors to commit. It is therefore inaccurate to claim the
force in 1995 and aims to create a favourable climate for
GATS undermines national sovereignty, because it is
trade in services under conditions of transparency and
something a country voluntarily imposes on itself.
progressive liberalisation.2 It does this by allowing
Moreover, it is difficult to argue that the GATS
countries to make binding commitments to lower trade
represents a particularly outrageous example of
barriers. With specific respect to healthcare, the
democratic illegitimacy – to argue that would be to
agreement covers the areas in the table below.
argue that all decisions made on trade policies are
Critics of the GATS, however, interpret it as requiring the
democratically suspect. And seeing as trade agreements
privatisation of health services, a challenge to
within the WTO are only finalised with the consent of
governments’ ability to regulate their own health
the legislators of member states, they are in many ways
providers and to determine the shape of their health
more democratic than other supranational bodies such
systems (Sinclair, 2000; Pollock & Price, 2003). For
instance, critics claim that the wording of the agreement
These concerns aside, it is worth stating the positive
does not specifically exempt all government provided
effects on public health that a trade liberalising
healthcare from the auspices of the GATS (Krajewski,
commitment such as the GATS could have. Committing
2001). Another area of controversy is the extent to
to the GATS could have significant overall benefits,
which the GATS allows governments to regulate
mainly because it helps speed up the “knowledge spill-
healthcare providers, with some arguing that it would
over” and technology transfer that we have already seen
“outlaw the use of non-market mechanisms such as
is crucial to improving health. It could also act as a way
subsidisation, universal risk pooling, solidarity, and
for countries to earn significant amounts of export
public accountability in the funding and delivery of
earnings, thereby contributing to their economic growth.
Patients seeking treatment abroad (‘medical tourism’)
Foreign commercial presence in the hospital or insurance sectors
Temporary movement of health professionals to provide services abroad
Countries enjoying a comparative advantage in the
Telemedically training doctors for resource poor
provision of health services would obviously benefit
settings
from liberalisation; while this mainly applies towealthier nations, certain lower-income countries such
The Johns Hopkins School of Medicine has established a
as India are rapidly developing world class
new centre designed to provide clinical training to health
specialisations and capabilities across a range of medical
care providers in parts of the world where resources and
infrastructure are limited or lacking. The Center forClinical Global Health Education (CCGHE) aims to useadvanced telemedicine technology and Johns Hopkins
Telemedicine
experts to provide clinical training to health care workers
Telemedicine is the most obvious area of medical
around the world in an efficient and cost-effective
services that could be supplied across borders. Although
manner. “Recently, many donors have made it possible to
telemedicine provision is still relatively embryonic, its
obtain HIV/AIDS medications for some of those infected
adults and children in resource-limited settings,” said
communications costs are broadening the scope for
Robert Bollinger, director of the new centre.
doctors to examine x-rays or even to perform telesurgery
“Unfortunately, these medications help only a fraction of
on a patient in an entirely different country. Clinical,
these infected populations. These countries lack
surveillance and epidemiological information could also
experienced, trained health care providers to dispense the
be disseminated through telecommunication
technologies, such as the internet. These moderninnovations make it far easier for doctors to keep upwith the latest medical literature and knowledge than in
suitable infrastructure has long been recognised by
the past, even in the most world’s most remote regions.
public health experts as one of the main barriers to goodhealth in poor countries. A major related problem is
Communications technologies have the power to drive
attracting specialists to rural and suburban areas. It
down costs, as hospitals will commission the services of
would be far easier, therefore, to build and maintain the
the most competitively priced provider, and will no
communications infrastructure required to use
longer have their choice limited by location.
telemedicine than to place expensive medical specialists
Telemedicine can help professionals in remote areas
consult with specialists in urban centres, therebyreducing much of the need for costly referrals. Telemedicine could help extend the scope of clinical
Consumption abroad
trials, adding the potential to include rural participants,
There is an increasing trend for patients to travel
for instance, or a wider range of races and ethnicities.
internationally in order to seek out the best quality care,
For the patient, telemedicine can remove the need for
at the lowest cost and with the minimum of waiting.
costly, difficult travel and lessen delays between referral
Currently, medical tourists are travelling in large
and treatment (Hailey, Roine & Ohinmaa, 2002).
numbers to India, South East Asia, Latin America and
There is also evidence that telemedicine can be of direct
South Africa, where there are many high quality medical
benefit to lower income countries. One study found that
facilities. Many medical tourists come from regions of the
a teleophthalmology project between the United
world where state-of-the-art medical facilities rarely
Kingdom and South Africa helped practitioners to
exist; others come from countries like the UK and Canada
improve their limited ophthalmic knowledge, and also
where public health-care systems are so overburdened
to reduce the burden of eye disease (Johnston et al,
that it can take years to get needed care. Another driver of
2004). Indeed, lower-income countries possibly stand to
medical tourism is cost: surgery in India, Thailand or
accrue greater benefits from telemedicine than rich
South Africa can cost one-tenth less than the United
countries. A lack of access to qualified medical care and
States or Western Europe, and sometimes even less. The
GATS helps to provide the framework through which
Second, the development of high quality medical
services will provide additional employment for medicalprofessionals, and thereby help to retain them in the
Ten years ago, levels of medical tourism were
country. It is often the case that consulting surgeons
insignificant. Today, more than 200,000 patients every
divide their time between the private and public sectors.
year visit Singapore — nearly half of them from the
If their choice of employment is limited to the public
Middle East.4 It is estimated that in 2005 approximately
sector, they will have few incentives to keep them in the
half a million foreign patients will travel to India for
country. The presence of foreign commercial providers
medical care, whereas in 2002, the number was only
can thereby help to overcome the so-called ‘brain drain’
150,000. This goes some way to relieving the burden on
that has been affecting medical services in certain lower-
increasingly cashed-strapped health systems in the rich
world, while creating greater incentives for highly-trained medical staff to remain in their country of
Third, foreign providers and private capital within a
origin, instead of taking their expertise overseas.
foreign country can also go some way to easing the
Furthermore, the GATS provides a mechanism by which
burden on cash-strapped public services, by reducing the
countries can exchange medical students, thereby
further increasing the rate of knowledge transfer.
Finally, it might also be that the GATS speeds up the
Attracting foreign patients can also be a considerable
introduction of private health insurance in lower-income
source of foreign exchange for lower-income countries.
countries, which would be a positive development for
Medical tourism could bring India as much as $2.2
those who are denied access to care by inefficient and
billion per year by 2012, according to a study by
iniquitous public monopolies. This can only improve
management consultants McKinsey and Company and
the Confederation of Indian Industry. Argentina, CostaRica, Cuba, Jamaica, South Africa, Jordan, Malaysia,
Presence of natural persons
Hungary, Latvia and Estonia have all entered into thismarket, or are trying to do so, with more countries
The GATS provides a legal framework through which
individual medical professionals can move betweencountries in order to practice. This is a contentious issue,because the greatest movement of health professionals
Commercial presence
is from lower-income countries to rich countries, where
The GATS provides a rules-based mechanism through
salaries are higher and working conditions better. In
which commercial providers of health services – such as
many lower-income countries, medical professionals
hospitals or insurance providers – may operate in a
find it hard to find employment in their own
foreign country. While countries such as the US and UK
professions, and often resort to working in low-skilled
are becoming increasingly open to foreign private health
investment, poorer countries such India, Indonesia,
In the popular media, this is phenomena is depicted as
Nepal, Sri Lanka and Thailand are also beginning to
an entirely negative ‘brain drain’ that saps the health
tread a similarly liberal path in this area (WHO, 2002).
systems of lower-income countries of capacity and
There are several reasons why this kind of trade is
resource. However, the so-called ‘brain drain’ of medical
important for speeding up the ‘knowledge spill-over’
personnel may in fact make some positive contributions
that we have seen improves public health.
to knowledge spill-over and contribute to a country’s
First, the presence of additional foreign capital will
foreign exchange via remittances. Many medical
accelerate the speed at which new medical technology
professionals acquire skills that they would be unable to
can be adopted. Foreign providers will also bring with
at home, and in many cases they bring those skills with
them advanced management techniques, which will
them when they return. In health research, scientists
migrating from lower-income countries can promote
research activity in priority areas relevant to their
population. In this way, India stands to benefit not only
countries, thereby helping to improve the allocation of
from the pharmaceutical expertise that the
health research funding to these areas. Furthermore,
multinationals bring with them, but also from increased
allowing the free movement of peoples ensures that
levels of foreign direct investment which helps to boost
human potential does not go untapped. It is worth
the economy. There is also some evidence that the new
bearing in mind, for example, that Albert Einstein
laws are creating a climate that is tempting skilled
would have been unable to develop his theories if he had
Indian scientists and researchers back home from the
remained in Nazi Germany in the 1930s.
From a broader philosophical perspective, the idea that
However, this move by the Indian government has been
particular classes of individuals should have their
met with much opposition from various health
freedom of movement constrained by governments is
campaigners and so-called ‘public interest’ groups, who
distastefully authoritarian. Those who call for legislation
believed that India’s compliance with TRIPS would
to stop the international movement of health
switch off the world’s greatest source of cheap
professionals seem to be implying that these people are
medicines because Indian generics companies will no
the financial property of governments. It seems deeply
longer be able to copy vital medicines that are on-patent
illiberal to want to constrain people from fulfilling their
aspirations and potential in such a way.
But this claim is bogus. Of the medicines that Indiangenerics firms produce, 97 per cent are off-patent, so the
TRIPS and technology transfer – the case of India
law will affect, at most, 3 per cent of all drugs producedin the country. Moreover, fewer than 2 per cent of the
Bringing intellectual property issues into international
medicines on the World Health Organisation list of
trade law has been controversial since the WTO’s Trade
essential medicines are currently on patent (Attaran,
Related aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS)
2004), so it is simply not possible that the new Indian
agreement was first signed in 1994. Much of the
patent law will have a significant impact on access to
subsequent debate has focused on whether or not
medicines in other parts of Asia and Africa.
enforcing patents on pharmaceutical products hindersaccess to medicines in lower income countries. The
Prior to the implementation of TRIPS there were
agreement tries to balance the need to ensure access to
approximately 20,000 companies in India producing
medicines with the need to protect the investment of
pharmaceuticals, some of them still on-patent in other
innovators. Without such protection, it is unlikely that
countries. Nevertheless, it was estimated in 1999 that
the private sector would invest the considerable sums
less than 40 per cent of the population had access to any
required in order to develop new drugs.
kind of medicine (Lanjouw, 1999). The implementationof TRIPS-compliant patent law has no doubt reduced
This paper, however, does not intend to dwell too long
the number of companies producing copies of drugs –
these aspects of the TRIPS debate, which are by now
estimates put the number at around 9,000 – but it has
familiar to all those with an interest in public health.
had no discernable impact on rates of access to
Rather, it would more interesting to examine how the
medicines, which remain deplorably low. The fact is that
TRIPS agreement can affect technological and
there are far more serious problems at play that affect
access to medicines besides intellectual property rights,
India is one example which is worth close examination.
such as an entirely inadequate medical infrastructure.
In order to become compliant with TRIPS, India enacted
Nevertheless, the recent changes in India’s intellectual
a patent law in early 2005. The early signs are that this
property law are already stimulating Indian firms to
has led to increased investment into drug research and
research and develop drugs for diseases that
development (R&D) in India by local and multinational
predominantly affect the local population. For instance,
companies, which should in time result in cheaper drugs
the company Nicholas Piramel has recently opened a
more specifically tailored for the needs of the Indian
$20 million research and development centre in Bombay
speeding up collaboration between the information
to carry out basic research in a wide range of disorders,
technology sector and the pharmaceutical and
ranging from cancer to malaria. This latter disease is
biotechnology industries. Until recently, the fledgling
contracted by at least 600 million people annually,
research-based biotech and pharmaceutical sectors
predominantly in poor countries, including India.
relied on patenting in the U.S and Europe. They have
Ranbaxy, India’s largest pharmaceuticals company, and
also faced difficulties in establishing joint ventures with
Dr. Reddy’s are also pursuing similar R&D projects. India
IT companies because of weak local patent laws and the
currently has the largest number of approved
reluctance of foreign businesses to make large, risky
pharmaceutical manufacturing companies outside the
commitments. Now, instead of exporting raw materials
US, and has increased spending on R&D from 4 per cent,
and basic active ingredients that go into cheap generics,
firms in India now have the ability to compete globally,producing high value-added, life-saving medicines. This
The change in patent law is also attracting significant
will also contribute to the country’s continuing
foreign investment. Multi-national pharmaceutical
economic growth which has seen its life expectancy rise
companies such as Merck and Bristol-Meyers Squibb
from 36 years in 1951 to its current level of 61 years.
now see India as a prime location for establishingresearch facilities. India is attractive not only because ofits lower basic costs, but also because of the many well-
Free Trade Agreements
educated researchers that can reliably conduct capital-
The growing tendency of the United States to sign
intensive clinical trials and more complicated forms of
bilateral and regional Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)
later stage drug development. The management
has, like TRIPS, given rise to the fear that trade
consultants McKinsey estimate that by 2010, US and
agreements might damage health by prioritising
European pharmaceutical companies will spend $1.5
intellectual property considerations over access to
billion annually in India on clinical trials alone (Padma,
medicines. The US currently has FTAs with Jordan,
Chile, Singapore, Morocco, Australia, Bahrain and a
Many Western firms are also seeking to partner with
group of six Central American countries (the Free Trade
local expertise. A collaboration between Danish-based
Area of the Americas). The US is in advanced
Novo Nordisk and Dr. Reddy’s to create a new treatment
negotiations with Thailand, Andean countries, five
for diabetes is a recent example. Japanese firms have
Southern African Customs Union, or SACU, countries
also expressed interest in investing substantial sums
and 34 Latin American and Caribbean countries. But,
into Indian R&D projects. Instead of imposing
similarly to TRIPS, these FTAs can improve health by
prohibitive barriers, as it once did, the Indian
promoting technology transfer and enriching signatory
government has been actively courting these foreign
investments by providing incentives, such as a ten year
There is some scepticism about FTAs. For instance, some
tax break to pharmaceutical companies that are involved
activist groups assert that certain intellectual property
provisions in FTAs will prevent countries from making
Such developments mean that an Indian firm may well
use of safeguards provided in the Doha Declaration on
develop a vaccine for malaria or improve current
the TRIPS Agreement and Public Health. Signed by all
tuberculosis therapies, resistance to which contributes to
WTO member countries, the declaration restated
the deaths of over 1,000 people each day in India alone.
flexibilities in TRIPS that allow countries to take
Investments are even going into R&D for a vaccine for
necessary measures, including the compulsory licensing
HIV/AIDS. Human trials are underway for the second
of medicines, to protect public health. A further
preventative HIV vaccine candidate that India has
clarification in August 2003 ensured that third countries
could also compulsory-license drugs for export to poorcountries lacking manufacturing capability.
In a relatively short time, India’s new patent law is also
But the activists’ claim that FTAs “kill” by tipping the
also help to grow their own innovative industries. This
“public health versus private intellectual property”
will allow for greater technology and knowledge
balance in favour of the commercial interests of
transfer, as multinational companies will feel that they
American pharmaceutical companies is simply untrue.
can operate in a country free from having their property
All the FTAs have language that expressly states that the
misappropriated. By protecting intellectual property,
FTA will not restrict any flexibility permitted under
FTAs encourage innovative product launches by local
TRIPS, or the Doha Declaration, to protect public health.
pharmaceutical industries. Since the U.S.-Jordan FTA
Where this language does not appear in the main
was signed in 2000, for example, there have been more
agreement, the U.S. and its partner country (or
than 32 new product launches in Jordan (USTR, 2004).
countries) have signed binding “side letters” to the sameeffect.
To be sure, FTAs are a second-best solution to free trade.
When campaigning against FTAs, many activists raise
Nevertheless, they are an improvement on the then-
the spectre of patent terms that go beyond the TRIPS’
prevailing situation, freeing up trade and improving
minimum of 20 years, thus suggesting a situation where
economic wellbeing. This will allow countries to spend
poor people would have to wait 20 years or more before
more on healthcare, as well as enabling individuals to
they can get access to generic drugs. But, as we have
improve their living conditions and thus improve health.
seen, 95 per cent of drugs on the World Health
They also encourage knowledge and technology transfer
Organization’s essential-drugs list are off-patent and
by improving the operating environment for innovative
will remain so (Attaran, 2004). Similarly, drugs patented
in the US, but not in other countries, including manyanti-retrovirals, cannot gain patent protection now.
In any case, no drugs have a de facto 20-year patent term.
Although it is clear that free trade stimulates two of the
It typically takes between 10 and 12 years to take a
most significant determinants of health – economic
molecule through testing and regulatory approval – all
growth and technology transfer – it is still faced with
of which occur after a patent has been granted, since no
much scepticism from a diverse range of people. These
company would invest in an unpatented molecule.
include industry lobbies who fear international
Meanwhile, it can take between one and three years to
competition, activists who seek to curtail the freedom of
obtain a patent after filing. Therefore, most drugs have
the private sector, and governments who dictate policy
an effective patent term of six to ten years, often less.
according to the wishes of special interest groups.
According to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration
Opponents contend that free trade is a bad thing
(FDA), the average patent life remaining after marketing
because of the perception that it can create winners and
approval in 2001 was 7.8 years out of the original 20
losers. Despite considerable empirical evidence to the
years of patent protection (FDA, 2002). By contrast,
contrary, there is also intense suspicion that economic
other industrial sectors enjoy an average patent life of
growth can actually improve human well-being.
more than 18.5 years. Some FTAs do provide for patent
Frequently, these dissenting views are articulated as the
term restoration, but only in the case of unnecessary
official voices of bodies such as the UN and its agencies,
delays in marketing approvals. In the US, where such
which seem to believe that addressing inequality is a
legislation exists, this extra term typically does not
higher priority than promoting economic growth.
exceed two years. In other words, most drugs would stillhave far less than 20 years of exclusivity.
One document which embraces this stance is the UNDevelopment Programme’s 2005 Human Development
While TRIPS allows governments to protect public
Report, which argues that more foreign aid is required to
health, it is also designed to encourage countries to
address the widening inequalities that it considers to be
respect intellectual property by refraining from copying
the main barrier to meeting the Millennium
existing drugs, such as Viagra and other “lifestyle
Development Goals. The document is also sceptical of
drugs.” In doing so, they will attract investment and
the power of free trade to ameliorate the humancondition. It suggests that free trade can worsen
Figure 4 Growth rate of per capita GDP
inequalities in health, education and income in lower-
income countries. This view also forms the basis of theWorld Health Organization’s Commission on the Social
Determinants of Health, and it is also discussed in the
World Bank’s 2006 World Development Report.
A global obsession with eliminating ‘inequality’
somewhat misses the point where health issues areconcerned. Rising health inequality does often
accompany economic growth, but it is important torecognise that economic growth rarely – if ever –damages overall population health. In fact, the empirical
evidence shows the exact opposite occurs. In his analysisof data from 42 countries, Adam Wagstaff (2002) finds
that in both rich and poor countries, health inequalitiesdo indeed rise with rising per capita incomes. This is due
in part to improving availability of new healthtechnology that accompanies economic growth, whichcan be taken up more speedily by the rich than the poor.
globalisation have enabled a far more rapid transfer of
However, it is important to note that the poorest people
technology and knowledge from rich to poor countries
do not get less healthy as the society’s wealthier
than was possible in previous centuries. A study by
elements get healthier. Rather, they become healthier as
World Bank economist David Dollar has shown that the
well, but at a slightly slower rate than those who are
acceleration of economic globalisation and trade flows in
relatively wealthier. But if lower-income countries hope
the later stages of the 20th Century has also allowed the
to overcome these inequalities by managing trade via
rate of economic growth in lower-income countries to
import substitution policies and the like, it is probable
outstrip that of rich countries for the first time in history
that economic growth will be retarded and poverty
(see Figure 4). Furthermore, the number of poor people
perpetuated, leaving people unable to afford clean fuels,
in the world is declining – by 375 million people since
proper sanitation and healthy living conditions.
1981, even while the world population increased by 1.6
For those concerned with inequality from a normative
stance, it is also worth remembering that the startling
Opponents of free trade, by contrast, fail to recognise its
rises in individual prosperity witnessed in recent years in
hugely beneficial impact on humanity. They see it as a
India and China have contributed enormously to
zero-sum game in which higher income countries and
reductions in global health and educational inequalities.
multinational companies exploit the poor and
Although global incomes are diverging (largely as a
marginalised. Anti-poverty activists consistently push
result of Africa’s failure to promote economic growth),
the message that trade liberalisation is bad for the poor,
human development indicators have been converging
because they are unable to compete against the financial
rapidly throughout the world during the last half
and technological superiority of producers from richer
century. Economist Charles Kenny recently noted that
although the gaps in incomes between the richest andpoorest countries are widening, most countries are
Often opponents of free trade wilfully mistake ‘free
speedily converging in development indicators such as
trade’ for what is actually managed trade. One current
health and education (Kenny, 2005). This is partly
anti-free trade campaign spearheaded by the NGO
because the processes of free trade and economic
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1. The smoothed curves in this figure are based on log-linear regression analysis. N = 268 for 1977 and 2003cumulatively; adjusted R2 = 0.56. The increase in lifeexpectancy due to increase in income and the passage oftime are both significant at the 99.9 percent level.
2. From the preamble to the GATS, available athttp://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/26-gats.pdf
3. http://www.jhu.edu/~gazette/2005/31oct05/31center.html
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7. http://www.advocate.com/news_detail_ektid19293.asp
8. http://www.pressureworks.org/dosomething/act/votefortradejustice.html
Free trade for better health Free trade is a powerful mechanism for improving the health of the world’s poor. It leads to enhanced competition, which drives improvements in products and processes – leading to economic growth. It also enables ‘technology transfer’, ensuring that advances made in one market rapidly become available elsewhere.
As a result, free trade leads to greater prosperity, andimproves access to clean water, clean energy, food,
sanitation and other goods necessary for health. This hascontributed to the dramatic increases in worldwide lifeexpectancy of the last fifty years.
The rise of the multilateral trading regime under theauspices of the GATT and later the WTO has contributedto a massive liberalisation in global trade that has seennew health knowledge and technologies, and wealth,spread to nearly all corners of the globe.
Nevertheless, multilateral trade agreements from TRIPS
to GATS have been met with scepticism from self-styledhealth activists and campaigners, who accuse them ofholding up technology transfer and evendisenfranchising the poor.
But are such allegations grounded in reality? A review ofthe evidence suggests not. These agreements and tradeliberalisation generally have contributed to a significanttransfer of technology and expertise, which has hadgreat benefit for the poor.
E- ISSN: 2249 –1929 Journal of Chemical, Biological and Physical Sciences An International Peer Review E-3 Journal of Sciences Available online at www.jcbsc.org S ection A: Chemical Science Research Article Equilibrium studies of calcium (II) complexes with drug Furosemide and some amino acids Bhimrao C. Khade1*, Pragati M. Deore2 and Sudhakar R. Ujagare1
New drugs to improve memory and cognitive performance in impaired individuals are under intensive study. Their possible use in healthy people already triggers debate ON A WINTRY AFTERNOON IN APRIL, TIM TULLY AND I stood in a laboratory at Helicon Therapeutics, watching the future of human memory and cognition--or at least a plausible version of that future-take shape. Outside, a fre